I decided to forgo buying a season preview magazine this
year, in favor of availing myself of a free subscription to Sports
Illustrated. (Thank you Coke
Points. Your final gift to me. RIP.) I
received their baseball preview yesterday and read their scouting reports last
night. I haven’t watched any Spring
Training so far and even missed watching Team America’s awesome victory in the
World Baseball Classic. With changes
coming to my job and my entire living schedule, I’m just not sure I’m going to
be able to follow baseball this season as much as I have been. My enthusiasm just isn’t where it should be.
So let’s get down to it.
Your 2017 World Series winner will be (JDH417 waits five full minutes
for the clouds to part and for a divine light to shine upon him, gifting him
with prophecy) . . . determined by the end of this post. We’ll have to work our way through this and
arrive at a solution the hard way.
The American League East is expected to be dominated by the
Boston Red Sox with the addition of Chris Sale to the rotation and their
awesome hitting. I’m not sold. Even if they win the division, frankly,
they’re soft. Dustin Pedoria’s got grit,
but he’s the only one. They’re not going
anywhere near the World Series. People
are counting out the Blue Jays after losing Edwin Encarnacion, but Marcus Stroman
really impressed me in the WBC. I think
they’ve got the grit. Expect them to at
least get a Wild Card.
Meanwhile, Boston’s loss was Cleveland’s gain. Encarnacion, along with Michael Brantley
returning from injury, should give the Indians plenty of pop. With Corey Kluber and Andrew Miller, along
with the rest of the staff healing from last season’s late injuries, they
should be getting plenty of outs. They
should win the AL Central going away.
Unfortunately, the window may have closed for the Tigers and the Royals
due to a couple of unfortunate deaths.
Tigers owner, Mike Illitch, was the soul of the team (not to mention the
money) and pitcher, Yordano Ventura, was the Royal’s fire. Detroit may spontaneously combust from
injuries to their older players. Kansas
City’s homegrown core may be dispersed during or after this season. (Sigh.
I like those guys together so much.
They should start a band in the offseason.)
Boy did I get it wrong last year, riding the Astros and the
Rangers to the championship. The Astros
are just so loaded with the youthful talent.
Seductive. Then they add
high-level veteran talent in Carlos Beltran and Josh Reddick. Very seductive. They finally got rid of that stupid hill in
the outfield. Extremely very
seductive. I just have to question their
pitching. The Rangers are a bunch of
“if’s.” If Cole Hamels bounces back from
a late season slump. If Yu Darvish
returns to his pre-injury form. If the
rest of the rotation pitches the way they should be capable of pitching. If the bullpen’s arms don’t fall off covering
for the rest of the rotation when they don’t.
If Mike Napoli can still be productive after a poor post-season last
year. If Shin-Soo Choo can come back
from his injury and stay healthy. And
can Joey Gallo stop striking out all the time?
Maybe the Rangers can win if a few if these things come together. The Mariners are actually a more complete
team than either of these guys, but will team history get in their way? I’ll take the Astros taking the AL West with
reservations.
The National League East should be a slam dunk for the
Washington Nationals, as everyone says every year. However much talent gets added to this team,
they’re cancer-ridden. It starts with
their unofficial captain, Bryce Harper.
He really needs to go to a team where somebody like Adrian Beltre or Big
Pappi can screw his attitude on straight.
I don’t know how the Mets are going to score runs, but their opponents
aren’t going to score any either with the Met’s starting rotation. I’ll pick them to win the division. The Nationals may talent their way into a
Wild Card.
The Cubs are going to degrade badly after their World Series
triumph. It’s their starting pitching
that’s going to collapse. Unfortunately
for the Cardinals and the Pirates, they’re not in a position to capitalize on
the Cubs’ weakness. It’s still going to
be the Cubs winning the NL Central.
Let’s just move along.
Let’s start with Rockies here first in the NL West. I don’t think they’ll win it, but they are
intriguing. If they could just stay
healthy and get a little pitching, they’d bludgeon everyone. It’s too much to hope for. Meanwhile, the Giants at least shored up
their bullpen by adding Mark Melcancon and getting rid of Hunter Strickland
(addition by subtraction). Relief
pitching overshadowed every other problem they had. Oh, crap!
Wait. They kept Strickland. Buster Posey, Madison Bumgarner, and Johnny
Cueto’s great performances this year will all be wasted. I guess it’ll be the Dodgers winning the
division, but they’ll choke in the playoffs.
(Meanwhile on the Padres, it's nice to see so many former Chihuahuas on the big league club. Unfortunately, they're listed as the
worst team in SI’s preview because of their pitching.)
So how does it all end?
Cleveland over the Astros in the AL.
Mets over Cubs in the NL. (Yes,
shocking. Isn’t it? The Dodgers lose in the Division Series after
accumulating the best record in baseball.)
Cleveland takes it all. I can only
really see them losing if they suffer a rash of injuries during the season, in
which case I’ll go with the Astros again (foolishly) as my backup pick.
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