Thursday, September 14, 2017

New Mexico State Athletics Economics 2017


I found this abandoned after the soccer match last week.  It looked water-damaged (at least I hope it was water).  I picked up one of these at a soccer match last year and wrote about the revenue numbers listed in it (11-9-16).  As before, I’m not a numbers guy, I have no special insight on the Aggie athletics’ accounting, I don’t even really have much in the way of suggestions or criticisms.  I’m just presenting this along with what I know about the program.




We’ll start at the bottom of the 2017 table, since that’s where most of the money is.  Once again, let’s thank those nice rich football programs who pay to play our Aggies with that Guarantee money.  That’s almost a million more than last year.  In spite of my dark, angry thoughts about the NCAA and everyone else’s general dissatisfaction with the two conferences the Aggies are in (Sunbelt for football and the WAC for everything else), thank you for paying us to put with our unpleasant relationship with you people.  That’s up over $600,000.

Unfortunately, the merry-go-round may be stopping next year.  Aggie football will be out of the Sunbelt Conference.  Athletic Director, Mario Moccia, has expressed a dislike of having to deal with two conferences for sports, but I’m sure they’re going to miss the money from the Sunbelt as the Aggies go unaffiliated.  Worse, I’ve looked at their 2018 schedule.  Unlike the most famous independent university, Norte Dame, I’m not seeing any big names on the Aggies’ schedule.  This likely means the Guarantee money will be going down sharply.  As the department is trying to pay down a $10M debt as I understand it (and I have no idea what they spent the money on), this cannot help.  On the plus side, they might get a couple more wins and become bowl eligible, which would be a windfall, but that’s a mighty big if.

The two other items on the bottom of the 2017 list seem to be calculated differently than 2016, so it’s hard to compare.  Whatever “Multimedia Rights” are for NMSU, they appear to pay well, and/or the new Underarmor uniforms Licensing paid out well.  Concessions is a bit confusing.  Either the “up diamond” is a misprint on the 2017 Revenue or they’re adding it up differently.  In 2016, university concessions did change from Coke to Pepsi, which is a big deal, like changing uniform manufacturers.  However, it’s not a big number either way relatively.  Booster contributions alone (shown on another table) are over $500,000 and up 15% from last year.  As much as concession items cost, you’d think it’d be a bigger piece of the pie.

Last year, 22% of Athletics revenue was Ticket Sales.  For fiscal 2017, it was 16%.  Ticket sales were down a half percent, which is pretty good considering they were down 10% last year.  Even in a down year in 2016, five of the seven team sports had an uptick in attendance, but since football and men’s basketball were down, it didn’t matter to overall revenue.  But in 2017, five of the sports were down.  It didn’t affect ticket income since one of the sports that was up, men’s basketball, was way up, and it’s a lucrative sport.  As men’s basketball and football go, that’s how the revenue goes.  Let’s break it down by sport.

Aggie Football revenue was down 24%.  That was with a “Stuff the Stadium” promotion and a win over the Lobos at home.  I guess team performance was the main culprit.  They lost every game on the road and only won three games.  (I attended two of them.)  Not only have they been bumped out of the Sunbelt Conference for attendance and performance, they’re on the verge of losing some NCAA status (Division I or FBS?  I’m not sure what, but it’s bad).  Looking at 2016’s numbers, the program seems to be in a downward spiral and picking up speed. 

Media partner, Learfield, has been buying tickets to keep up attendance figures.  (This isn’t a scandal by the way.  Everyone knows about it.)  The income that university gets from promotional ticket pricing is mostly from various local business and government offices buying blocks, not individuals.  Reducing regular ticket prices might help a little for individual fans and encourage more group ticket sales, but it’s too much to ask business owners to subsidize every home game.  (Some more suites might get their attention.)  Las Cruces just isn’t a large, wealthy community.  Even when they’re down, football ticket sales are still a huge amount of income, and as long as the football program is bringing in the Guarantee income, they’re essential to Aggie athletics.  Losing those “money games” and conference income may bring up some tough questions though.

The hero in ticket sales was the Men’s Basketball.  The team did well, as it often does.  Their “Pack the Pan-Am” event may account for their big rise in ticket sales.  Perhaps season tickets holders got over the sticker shock price increases last year and bought in again as well.  Women’s basketball had a big drop in sales, but I think 2016’s huge increase (depending on how they figure their fiscal year) was due to another “Pack” event (their largest crowd ever).  Certainly the team was excellent, so there wasn’t a drop because of performance.  The university definitely seems to get a good “bang for the buck” on promotional prices for basketball.  Director Moccia expressed interest in putting suites in the rafters of the Pan-Am Center.  That’s a great idea (since I thought of it too).  It’s a matter schmoozing the right people to commit buying them long-term and putting some deposit money upfront.    

Volleyball and Softball I’m a bit confused by.  NMSU hosted the WAC tournaments for both sports last school year, so you’d think they’d both be up.  The difference may have been that Aggie Softball was in championship game and Aggie Volleyball wasn’t.  I’m really not sure though.  The softball team is great to watch, but until their facilities get some shade for the stands, it’s hard to recommend to others.  The volleyball matches are great for the fans.  The university should promote the program as much as they can to help keep our very good, 20-year coach Mike Jordan around, who was grumbling about attendance last week.  It’s amazing women’s basketball coach Mark Trakh stuck around as long as he did with all his success here (unlike some other traitorous basketball coach, who I won’t mention).

Aggie Baseball was down 1%, which isn’t bad considering that the previous year’s attendance may have been goosed by a “Stuff the ‘Skew” event.  (Seems like there’s pattern here on promotional prices.)  Hosting Texas Tech for a game here probably helped, and that was with a late change in time to a weekday afternoon game.  Thanks to all those obnoxious Red Raider fans who showed up, and to that large crowd of very nice Yale fans, who came out for two days.  Book more games against teams who have fans that travel with them.              

Aggie Soccer was way up in 2016 (though comparatively pocket change) and way down in 2017 (seat cushion change).  I’ll say they’ll be up on next years’ revenue thanks to hosting UTEP and UNM this season.  Maybe this happens every other year, and they should schedule it so that one of them is here every year instead.  The program isn’t that great, but it is still relatively new.    

Soccer appears to have a pretty good fan base (of terrible fans who spend the whole game coaching from the stands), but too many of their games are on weekday afternoons to get them there for all of the home games.  Not only is this inconvenient, but it’s hot out there on those exposed metal stands.  Lights to play night games would help on both accounts, but given the small income, would it be worth it?  Not to mention, there’s going to be some scheduling conflicts with volleyball and football going on at the same time.  The university makes a real effort to allow hard core fans an opportunity to attend every sporting event.   

Attendance does matter for sports.  Sports are ultimately for the community and for the fans.  (Actually, other groups of people have a different view on the reason for sports in this country.  Don’t get me started.)  While most of the athletic department’s income isn’t from ticket sales, those other numbers will go up with better attendance and better team performance.  It all works together. 

I’d recommend focusing on getting more fans to the men’s basketball games.  It’s the easiest sell, as long as they’re a good team.  Get more fans to the football games by any means necessary.  Offer a 25% discount for buying 20 or more tickets for any game.  Make it 50% if they buy season tickets.  It may be more about bodies than income at this point.  Mass kidnappings should not be off the table.  Promote the heck out of the other sports to middle and high schools and club teams and cut some deals with them.  Next year may be the pivotal year for the continuation of Aggie athletics at their current level.  Getting the community’s involvement will be essential in riding out the coming rough patch.         

No comments:

Post a Comment